SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
45.5% ( -0.18) | 23.36% ( 0) | 31.13% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 62.04% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.62% ( 0.07) | 39.37% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.28% ( 0.08) | 61.71% ( -0.08) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( -0.04) | 17.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.74% ( -0.07) | 48.26% ( 0.07) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% ( 0.14) | 24.66% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.81% ( 0.2) | 59.19% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.9% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.13% |
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