SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 73.42%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Zurich Women had a probability of 10.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-3 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Zurich Women win it was 2-1 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-9 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zurich Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
10.79% ( 0.1) | 15.78% ( 0.07) | 73.42% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.94% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.54% ( -0.04) | 33.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.75% ( -0.05) | 55.25% ( 0.04) |
| Zurich Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.52% ( 0.16) | 41.48% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.02% ( 0.14) | 77.98% ( -0.14) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.17% ( -0.05) | 7.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.22% ( -0.12) | 27.78% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zurich Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.33% Total : 10.79% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.78% | 0-2 @ 10.53% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 8.95% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.87% ( -0)0-4 @ 5.7% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.12% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 73.42% |
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