SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 76.66%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 8.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-2 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Everton Ladies |
76.66% ( -0.32) | 14.51% ( 0.09) | 8.83% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.41% ( 0.43) | 33.58% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.6% ( 0.49) | 55.39% ( -0.49) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.8% ( 0.03) | 7.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.86% ( 0.08) | 26.14% ( -0.08) |
| Everton Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.56% ( 0.84) | 45.43% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.72% ( 0.65) | 81.28% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Everton Ladies |
| 2-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.31% Total : 76.66% | 1-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.93% Total : 14.51% | 1-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 2.58% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.62% Total : 8.83% |
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