SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 88.48%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 3.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 4-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.94%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 0-1 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | West Ham United Women |
88.48% ( 1.47) | 8.29% ( -0.77) | 3.23% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 39.27% ( -3.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.55% ( -0.33) | 27.44% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.95% ( -0.41) | 48.05% ( 0.41) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.08% ( 0.19) | 3.91% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.4% ( 0.59) | 16.6% ( -0.59) |
| West Ham United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.86% ( -3.77) | 59.13% ( 3.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.8% ( -2.1) | 90.2% ( 2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | West Ham United Women |
| 3-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.8) 2-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.58)4-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.78)1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.39)5-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.6)2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.46)4-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.24)6-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.37)5-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.1)6-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.34)7-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.25)5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.15)7-1 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 88.47% | 1-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.35% Total : 8.29% | 0-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.98% Total : 3.23% |
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