SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 87.37%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 3.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.72%) and 0-4 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.21%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-0 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton Ladies | Draw | Manchester City Women |
3.75% ( -0.15) | 8.87% ( -0.32) | 87.37% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 41.95% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.79% ( 0.96) | 27.21% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.24% ( 1.2) | 47.75% ( -1.2) |
| Everton Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.72% ( 0.12) | 56.27% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.37% ( 0.07) | 88.63% ( -0.07) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.94% ( 0.24) | 4.05% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.95% ( 0.74) | 17.05% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton Ladies | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.23% Total : 3.75% | 1-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.45% Total : 8.87% | 0-3 @ 12.52% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 11.72% ( -0.27)0-4 @ 10.03% ( 0.12)0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.13)0-5 @ 6.43% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 5.77% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 3.7% ( 0.12)0-6 @ 3.44% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)1-6 @ 1.98% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)0-7 @ 1.57% ( 0.1)2-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)1-7 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.26% Total : 87.37% |
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