SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 75.21%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 8.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.53%) and 0-3 (10.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-0 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton Ladies | Draw | Manchester United Women |
8.38% ( -2.42) | 16.41% ( -1.92) | 75.21% ( 4.35) |
| Both teams to score 41.37% ( -3.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.49% ( 1.09) | 44.51% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.12% ( 1.04) | 66.88% ( -1.04) |
| Everton Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.05% ( -4.4) | 53.95% ( 4.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.76% ( -2.9) | 87.25% ( 2.91) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.84% ( 1.44) | 10.16% ( -1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.61% ( 3.18) | 33.4% ( -3.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton Ladies | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.67)2-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.37)Other @ 1.57% Total : 8.38% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.96) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.56)Other @ 0.47% Total : 16.41% | 0-2 @ 14.33% ( 1) 0-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 10.92% ( 1.34)1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.52)1-3 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 6.25% ( 1.09)1-4 @ 3.85% ( 0.23)0-5 @ 2.86% ( 0.63)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.28)1-5 @ 1.76% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.08)0-6 @ 1.09% ( 0.29)Other @ 2.76% Total : 75.2% |
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