SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies | Draw | Manchester City Women |
18.43% ( 0.02) | 20.66% ( 0.02) | 60.9% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( -0.07) | 39.67% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.98% ( -0.07) | 62.02% ( 0.07) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.97% ( -0.02) | 35.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.23% ( -0.01) | 71.77% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.4% ( -0.03) | 12.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.3% ( -0.07) | 38.7% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 2-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 18.43% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.66% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 60.9% |
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