SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
30.35% ( -0.05) | 24.81% ( -0) | 44.84% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.5% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.53% ( -0.02) | 46.46% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.25% ( -0.02) | 68.74% ( 0.01) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( -0.05) | 28.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.5% ( -0.06) | 64.49% ( 0.05) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( 0.02) | 20.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.57% ( 0.03) | 53.43% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.35% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.84% |
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