SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 2-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton Ladies | Draw | Manchester United Women |
16.1% ( -0.05) | 19.89% ( 0.01) | 64% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.67% ( -0.16) | 40.33% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.29% ( -0.17) | 62.7% ( 0.17) |
| Everton Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.87% ( -0.16) | 38.13% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.1% ( -0.16) | 74.89% ( 0.16) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.06% ( -0.04) | 11.93% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.7% ( -0.08) | 37.3% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton Ladies | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 2-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.12% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.1% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.89% | 0-2 @ 10.28% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.91% 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 7.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.03% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.65% 1-5 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.8% Total : 64% |
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