SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 81.68%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 5.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.37%) and 0-1 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-0 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
5.71% ( -0.18) | 12.61% ( -0.07) | 81.68% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 40.65% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.89% ( -0.53) | 37.1% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.7% ( -0.57) | 59.3% ( 0.57) |
| Leicester Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.68% ( -0.97) | 56.32% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.34% ( -0.57) | 88.65% ( 0.56) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.06% ( -0.06) | 6.93% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.56% ( -0.16) | 25.44% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.75% Total : 5.71% | 1-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.43% Total : 12.61% | 0-2 @ 13.9% ( 0.27) 0-3 @ 12.37% ( 0.2)0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 8.25% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 4.74% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 4.41% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 2.53% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.09)0-6 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)1-6 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 81.67% |
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