SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal Women in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
38.27% ( 7.49) | 24.48% ( 0.12) | 37.26% ( -7.61) |
| Both teams to score 59.69% ( 1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.83% ( 1.06) | 43.17% ( -1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.43% ( 1.04) | 65.57% ( -1.03) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( 4.8) | 22.48% ( -4.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.97% ( 6.68) | 56.03% ( -6.68) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77% ( -3.14) | 23% ( 3.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.2% ( -4.85) | 56.8% ( 4.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 1.08) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.68)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 1.19)3-1 @ 4.21% ( 1.01)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.51)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.89)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.53)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.32)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.43)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.27% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.86) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( -1.16)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -1.49)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.87)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -1.08)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.5)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.18)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.54)Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.26% |
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