SM
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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 91.12%. A draw had a probability of 6.5% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 2.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (11.49%) and 0-2 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.09%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-0 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
2.37% ( 0.04) | 6.52% ( 0.11) | 91.12% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 38.44% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.03% ( -0.41) | 22.97% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.78% ( -0.55) | 42.22% ( 0.55) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.57% ( -0.11) | 60.43% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.13% ( -0.06) | 90.87% ( 0.06) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.14% ( -0.07) | 2.86% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.97% ( -0.27) | 13.02% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| Other @ 2.37% Total : 2.37% | 1-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 6.52% | 0-3 @ 12.93% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 11.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 10.91% ( 0.15)0-5 @ 8.17% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 6.52% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 5.79% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.05)0-6 @ 4.84% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 4.12% ( -0.05)0-7 @ 2.46% ( -0.06)1-6 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)1-7 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)0-8 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 91.1% |
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