SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
36.74% ( 0.43) | 23.66% ( 0.14) | 39.6% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 62.71% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.76% ( -0.64) | 39.23% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.43% ( -0.67) | 61.57% ( 0.67) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% ( -0.07) | 21.49% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.46% ( -0.11) | 54.54% ( 0.1) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% ( -0.53) | 20.11% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.62% ( -0.86) | 52.37% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.74% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.07% Total : 39.6% |
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