SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
36.23% ( 0.43) | 25.85% ( 1.94) | 37.92% ( -2.37) |
| Both teams to score 54.74% ( -6.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.49% ( -8.97) | 49.51% ( 8.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( -8.62) | 71.54% ( 8.62) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( -3.91) | 26.48% ( 3.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.33% ( -5.5) | 61.67% ( 5.5) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( -5.18) | 25.53% ( 5.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% ( -7.64) | 60.39% ( 7.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 2.15) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.88)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.41)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.74)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.3)Other @ 3.22% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 1.38) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 2.17)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.89)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.58)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 1.92) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.48)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.79)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.89)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.53)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.25)Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.92% |
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