SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 78.14%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 8.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Ladies |
78.14% ( -0.27) | 13.32% ( 0.14) | 8.53% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.71% ( -0.23) | 28.28% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.9% ( -0.29) | 49.09% ( 0.29) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.21% ( -0.09) | 5.78% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.73% ( -0.27) | 22.26% ( 0.27) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.89% ( 0.12) | 42.1% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.47% ( 0.1) | 78.52% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Ladies |
| 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 8.13% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.8% Total : 78.14% | 1-1 @ 6% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.32% | 1-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 8.53% |
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