SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 76.02%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 9.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 1-2 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | West Ham United Women |
76.02% ( 0.07) | 14.61% ( -0.03) | 9.36% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.86% ( 0.04) | 32.14% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.27% ( 0.04) | 53.72% ( -0.05) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93% ( 0.02) | 7% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.38% ( 0.06) | 25.62% ( -0.06) |
| West Ham United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.75% ( -0.05) | 43.25% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.5% ( -0.04) | 79.5% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | West Ham United Women |
| 2-0 @ 10.7% 3-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.22% 6-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 76.02% | 1-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.61% | 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 9.36% |
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