Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.