SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
46.38% ( 0.4) | 23.27% ( 0.32) | 30.34% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 61.9% ( -1.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.63% ( -1.93) | 39.37% ( 1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.29% ( -2.04) | 61.71% ( 2.04) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.7% ( -0.59) | 17.3% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.34% ( -1.05) | 47.66% ( 1.05) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( -1.39) | 25.15% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% ( -1.96) | 59.86% ( 1.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.53)2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.11)Other @ 4.04% Total : 46.38% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.38)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.34% |
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