SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 86.45%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 4.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 4-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.32%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-2 (1.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Leicester Women |
86.45% ( 0.1) | 9.24% ( -0.1) | 4.31% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.67% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.31% ( 0.72) | 25.68% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.19% ( 0.92) | 45.81% ( -0.92) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.05% ( 0.13) | 3.95% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.28% ( 0.43) | 16.72% ( -0.43) |
| Leicester Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.55% ( 0.67) | 52.45% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.7% ( 0.43) | 86.3% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Leicester Women |
| 3-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.24)5-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.1)6-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.06)6-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.07)7-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.06)7-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.76% Total : 86.44% | 1-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.6% Total : 9.24% | 1-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.58% Total : 4.31% |
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