Tottenham emerged victorious from the reverse fixture, and with the hosts hunting down a top three spot, we think that they will have enough quality to edge out Aston Villa on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
