Chelsea are strong favourites for this one, given their superior league position and after a strong performance and result against West Ham, and they are not expected to lose ground in the title race this weekend.
Villa have struggled in front of goal this season and with Chelsea being so dominant, especially at Kingsmeadow, there is unlikely to be a chance for the visitors to get on the scoresheet.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 84.57%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 4.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.95%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 0-1 (1.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
