After a strong performance and result against Reading, Brighton are expected to find the form that they began this campaign with, especially against a side with a leaky defence.
Brighton have not kept many clean sheets themselves this season which is why Villa should be confident about getting on the scoresheet, but it is unlikely to be enough to stop Brighton sealing three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women.