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Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Jul 26, 2023 at 6am UK
Forsyth Barr Stadium at University Plaza
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Japan Women
2 - 0
Costa Rica Women

Naomoto (25'), Fujino (27')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Chinchilla (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Zambia Women 0-5 Japan Women
Saturday, July 22 at 8am in Women's World Cup
All competitions
Last Game: Spain Women 3-0 Costa Rica Women
Friday, July 21 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

We said: Japan Women 4-0 Costa Rica Women

After cruising to victory in their opening game against Zambia, we think that Japan will produce another dominant display to sweep past Costa Rica on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 94.19%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Costa Rica Women had a probability of 1.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.32%) and 2-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.15%), while for a Costa Rica Women win it was 0-1 (0.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result
Japan WomenDrawCosta Rica Women
94.19% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 4.55% (-0.06 -0.06) 1.27% (0.011 0.01)
Both teams to score 30.89% (0.84 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.19% (0.68599999999999 0.69)20.81% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.76% (0.957 0.96)39.25% (-0.955 -0.95)
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.85% (0.089999999999989 0.09)2.16% (-0.0879 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
89.57% (0.333 0.33)10.43% (-0.331 -0.33)
Costa Rica Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.57% (0.83 0.83)68.43% (-0.827 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.61% (0.3099 0.31)94.39% (-0.30699999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Japan Women 94.18%
    Costa Rica Women 1.27%
    Draw 4.55%
Japan WomenDrawCosta Rica Women
3-0 @ 13.89% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-0 @ 13.32% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.34 -0.34)
5-0 @ 10.22%
6-0 @ 6.54% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.66% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
4-1 @ 5.06% (0.111 0.11)
2-1 @ 4.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.88% (0.123 0.12)
7-0 @ 3.58% (0.074 0.07)
6-1 @ 2.48% (0.104 0.1)
8-0 @ 1.72% (0.053 0.05)
7-1 @ 1.36% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 1% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 94.18%
1-1 @ 2.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.48% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 4.55%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 1.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Zambia Women 0-5 Japan Women
Saturday, July 22 at 8am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Canada Women 0-3 Japan Women
Wednesday, February 22 at 9pm in SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: USA Women 1-0 Japan Women
Sunday, February 19 at 8.30pm in SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: Japan Women 0-1 Brazil Women
Thursday, February 16 at 9pm in SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: Sweden Women 3-1 Japan Women
Friday, July 30 at 11am in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Chile Women 0-1 Japan Women
Tuesday, July 27 at 12pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Spain Women 3-0 Costa Rica Women
Friday, July 21 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Costa Rica Women 0-1 Brazil Women
Thursday, June 18 at 12am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: S. Korea Women 2-2 Costa Rica Women
Sunday, June 14 at 12am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Spain Women 1-1 Costa Rica Women
Tuesday, June 9 at 9pm in Women's World Cup


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