Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Poland had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Poland win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
