Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Lebanon win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.
Result | ||
Lebanon | Draw | Australia |
21.7% (![]() | 25.96% (![]() | 52.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.8% (![]() | 57.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.94% (![]() | 78.06% (![]() |
Lebanon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.29% (![]() | 41.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.82% (![]() | 78.18% (![]() |
Australia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.05% (![]() | 21.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.77% (![]() | 55.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lebanon | Draw | Australia |
1-0 @ 8% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.7% | 1-1 @ 12.13% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 13.88% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.52% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 52.33% |
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