Lebanon fought hard to keep the first meeting tight last week, but Australia's quality shone through in a dominant display, and we envisage a similar showing and another three-point haul on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Lebanon win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.
-0.51) 
0.88) 
