Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.63%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Belgium in this match.
