Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Belgium had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Belgium win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
