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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
CR

Belgium
3 - 0
Czech Republic

Lukaku (8'), Hazard (41'), Saelemaekers (65')
Vertonghen (19'), Witsel (71'), Lukaku (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Barak (21')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 56.76%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawCzech Republic
56.76%21.16%22.07%
Both teams to score 61.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.29%36.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.13%58.87%
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.14%12.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.77%39.23%
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2%29.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.12%65.87%
Score Analysis
    Belgium 56.76%
    Czech Republic 22.07%
    Draw 21.16%
BelgiumDrawCzech Republic
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 8.06%
1-0 @ 7.86%
3-1 @ 6.67%
3-0 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 4.04%
4-1 @ 3.42%
4-0 @ 2.83%
4-2 @ 2.07%
5-1 @ 1.4%
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 56.76%
1-1 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 3.83%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.16%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-1 @ 4.64%
0-2 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 22.07%

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