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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2021 at 1.30am UK
 
UN

Brazil
4 - 1
Uruguay

Neymar (10'), Raphinha (18', 58'), Barbosa (83')
Fabinho (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Suarez (77')
Valverde (47'), Cavani (70'), Coates (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
BrazilDrawUruguay
58.96%23.05%17.99%
Both teams to score 48.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27%50.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37%72.63%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11%16.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.07%46.93%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.94%42.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.52%78.48%
Score Analysis
    Brazil 58.95%
    Uruguay 17.99%
    Draw 23.05%
BrazilDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 12.63%
2-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 5.77%
4-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-2 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 1.05%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 58.95%
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.05%
0-1 @ 6.15%
1-2 @ 4.74%
0-2 @ 2.67%
1-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 17.99%

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