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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2021 at 1.30am UK
 
BN

Paraguay
0 - 2
Brazil


Gomez (21'), Bareiro (87'), Alonso (88'), Alderete (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Neymar (4'), Paqueta (90+3')
Fred (43'), Jesus (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.43%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Paraguay win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
ParaguayDrawBrazil
16.56%24.16%59.28%
Both teams to score 42.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.15%56.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23%77.77%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.53%47.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.16%82.84%
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.98%19.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.42%50.58%
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 16.56%
    Brazil 59.27%
    Draw 24.15%
ParaguayDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 6.73%
2-1 @ 4.16%
2-0 @ 2.51%
3-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 16.56%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 9.03%
2-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 14.98%
0-2 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 9.27%
0-3 @ 6.88%
1-3 @ 5.13%
0-4 @ 2.86%
1-4 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 59.27%

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