Both nations will be desperate to return to winning ways on Thursday and boost their chances of finishing in the top four.
Uruguay have an evident goal threat with Cavani, Suarez and Nunez all in contention to play, in stark contrast to Paraguay, who are struggling for form in front of goal. With that in mind, the visitors should have the edge in the final third to seal all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Uruguay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uruguay.
