SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Peru had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Uruguay |
| 18.83% | 23.83% | 57.34% |
| Both teams to score 47.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.42% | 52.58% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.77% | 74.23% |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.85% | 42.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.44% | 78.56% |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.86% | 18.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.89% | 49.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 6.61% 2-1 @ 4.87% 2-0 @ 2.85% 3-1 @ 1.4% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.9% Total : 18.83% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 13.05% 0-2 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-3 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 5.48% 0-4 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.01% 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.37% Total : 57.33% |
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