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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2021 at 2am UK
 
UN

Peru
1 - 1
Uruguay

Tapia (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
De Arrascaeta (29')
Godin (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Peru had a probability of 18.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.14%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
PeruDrawUruguay
18.83%23.83%57.34%
Both teams to score 47.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.42%52.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.77%74.23%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85%42.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44%78.56%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.86%18.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.89%49.11%
Score Analysis
    Peru 18.83%
    Uruguay 57.33%
    Draw 23.82%
PeruDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 6.61%
2-1 @ 4.87%
2-0 @ 2.85%
3-1 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 18.83%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 13.05%
0-2 @ 11.14%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-3 @ 6.34%
1-3 @ 5.48%
0-4 @ 2.7%
2-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 2.34%
2-4 @ 1.01%
0-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 57.33%

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