Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 67.3%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Peru had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.53%) and 3-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.93%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil in this match.
