Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 69.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Peru had a probability of 9.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.69%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.58%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.