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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
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Malawi
0 - 3
Ivory Coast


Banda (39'), Mbulu (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gradel (36'), Sangare (85'), Boga (90+5')
Kessie (79'), Aurier (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 34.15%. A win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 32.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 2-1 (6.24%). The likeliest Ivory Coast win was 0-1 (14.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
MalawiDrawIvory Coast
34.15%32.43%33.42%
Both teams to score 36.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.06%71.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.55%88.45%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45%39.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.76%76.24%
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91%40.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27%76.73%
Score Analysis
    Malawi 34.14%
    Ivory Coast 33.42%
    Draw 32.42%
MalawiDrawIvory Coast
1-0 @ 14.7%
2-0 @ 6.82%
2-1 @ 6.24%
3-0 @ 2.11%
3-1 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 34.14%
0-0 @ 15.85%
1-1 @ 13.44%
2-2 @ 2.85%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 32.42%
0-1 @ 14.49%
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-2 @ 6.15%
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 33.42%

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