Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 34.15%. A win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 32.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 2-1 (6.24%). The likeliest Ivory Coast win was 0-1 (14.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
