SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Malawi |
| 57.38% | 24.26% | 18.36% |
| Both teams to score 45.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.19% | 54.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% | 76.11% |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% | 18.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.51% | 50.49% |
| Malawi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.99% | 44.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.87% | 80.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Malawi |
| 1-0 @ 13.87% 2-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 5.25% 4-0 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 2.15% Other @ 3.87% Total : 57.37% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.81% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.68% Total : 18.36% |
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