Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
