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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 10, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
LN

Cape Verde
1 - 0
Liberia

Isaac Mendes da Graca (90')
Isaac Mendes da Graca (90+2'), Monteiro (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kamara (31'), Macauley (43'), Tisdell (83'), Benaiah (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cape Verde in this match.

Result
Cape VerdeDrawLiberia
53.36%24.03%22.61%
Both teams to score 52.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.07%48.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.98%71.02%
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73%18.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67%49.32%
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86%36.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08%72.92%
Score Analysis
    Cape Verde 53.36%
    Liberia 22.61%
    Draw 24.02%
Cape VerdeDrawLiberia
1-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.54%
3-1 @ 5.5%
3-0 @ 5.41%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 2.34%
4-0 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 53.36%
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.6%
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.72%
1-2 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 3.42%
1-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 22.61%

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