China
3 - 2
Vietnam

Zhang (53'), Lei (75', 90+5')
Shihao (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tai Ho (80'), Linh Nguyen (90')
Truong Luong (66')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between China and Vietnam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Vietnam had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Vietnam win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that China would win this match.

Result
China	Draw	Vietnam
49.65%	24.67%	25.68%

Both teams to score 53.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19%

48.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09%

70.9%

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.31%

19.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.32%

51.68%

Vietnam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.63%

33.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30%

70%

Score Analysis

China 49.64%

Vietnam 25.68%

Draw 24.66%

China	Draw	Vietnam
1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.64%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 3.96% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.68%