SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Singapore had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a China win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Singapore win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that China would win this match.
| Result | ||
| China | Draw | Singapore |
48.08% ( 0.55) | 25.7% ( -0.08) | 26.22% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 50.83% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.44% ( 0.03) | 52.56% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.78% ( 0.03) | 74.22% ( -0.03) |
| China Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( 0.26) | 21.87% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% ( 0.39) | 55.11% ( -0.39) |
| Singapore Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( -0.36) | 34.95% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% ( -0.38) | 71.69% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| China | Draw | Singapore |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.08% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.1% Total : 26.22% |
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