Costa Rica
0 - 1
Mexico

Jose Blanco Mora (35'), Calvo (37'), Moya (42'), Guzman (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pineda (45+1' pen.)
Gallardo (45+3'), Montes (73'), Alvarez (75')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Costa Rica and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Mexico
24.8%	26.01%	49.19%

Both teams to score 48.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.23%

54.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.92%

76.09%

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.62%

37.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.84%

74.16%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7%

22.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.24%

55.76%

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 24.8%

Mexico 49.19%

Draw 26%

Costa Rica	Draw	Mexico
1-0 @ 8.2% 2-1 @ 6.06% 2-0 @ 4.04% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.8%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 12.5% 0-2 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 9.24% 0-3 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.19%