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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 3, 2021 at 3am UK
 
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Mexico
2 - 1
Jamaica

Vega (50'), Martin (89')
Vega (21'), Alvarez (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nicholson (65')
Burke (14')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 64.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 13.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.04%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawJamaica
64.32%21.74%13.95%
Both teams to score 43.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.68%52.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.99%74.01%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37%15.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37%44.63%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.56%48.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.45%83.55%
Score Analysis
    Mexico 64.32%
    Jamaica 13.95%
    Draw 21.73%
MexicoDrawJamaica
1-0 @ 14.05%
2-0 @ 13.04%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 8.07%
3-1 @ 5.85%
4-0 @ 3.74%
4-1 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.12%
5-0 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 1.01%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 64.32%
1-1 @ 10.18%
0-0 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 3.43%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.73%
0-1 @ 5.49%
1-2 @ 3.69%
0-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 13.95%

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