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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Croatia
2 - 2
Slovakia

Kramaric (25'), Modric (71')
Barisic (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Schranz (20'), Haraslin (45')
Kucka (69'), Rodak (70'), Schranz (80'), Hancko (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
CroatiaDrawSlovakia
54.75%26.1%19.14%
Both teams to score 41.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.79%60.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.6%80.4%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83%22.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43%55.57%
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.73%46.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.07%81.92%
Score Analysis
    Croatia 54.74%
    Slovakia 19.14%
    Draw 26.1%
CroatiaDrawSlovakia
1-0 @ 15.45%
2-0 @ 11.63%
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 4.5%
4-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-1 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 3.46%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 7.91%
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 19.14%

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