Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
