Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 83.41%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Eritrea had a probability of 4.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.99%) and 0-1 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for a Eritrea win it was 1-0 (2.02%).
0.88) 
-2.14) 
