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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
CN

Gambia
2 - 2
Congo

Minteh (79'), Badamosi (90')
Jallow (61'), Colley (62'), Badamosi (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Makouta (30'), Ganvoula (45+1' pen.)
Bifouma (65'), Makouta (69'), Beny Nzaba (72'), Mboungou (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 2-3 Gambia
Wednesday, June 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 0-2 Mali
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Gambia 1-0 Congo

Given the attacking records of both teams heading into this one, we anticipate a low-scoring affair with little goalmouth action. That said, we are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points come the sound of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
GambiaDrawCongo
34.64% (-0.151 -0.15) 26.49% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 38.87% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.44% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61% (-0.163 -0.16)52.38% (0.164 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.93% (-0.14 -0.14)74.06% (0.13999999999999 0.14)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)28.81% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.215 -0.22)64.67% (0.215 0.22)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)26.33% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)61.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gambia 34.64%
    Congo 38.87%
    Draw 26.48%
GambiaDrawCongo
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.64%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 10.12% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: South Sudan 2-3 Gambia
Wednesday, June 14 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 Mali
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 2-0 Gambia
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Gambia
Sunday, November 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 South Sudan
Saturday, June 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 0-2 Mali
Sunday, June 18 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 0-1 Congo
Monday, March 27 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 1-2 South Sudan
Thursday, March 23 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Congo 0-0 Niger
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Cameroon 1-0 Congo
Monday, January 16 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying


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