SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Congo |
34.64% ( -0.15) | 26.49% ( 0.03) | 38.87% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.61% ( -0.16) | 52.38% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.93% ( -0.14) | 74.06% ( 0.14) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.18% ( -0.17) | 28.81% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.33% ( -0.22) | 64.67% ( 0.22) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( -0.01) | 26.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.53% ( -0.02) | 61.47% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gambia | Draw | Congo |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.64% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.87% |
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