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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
BN

Estonia
2 - 0
Belarus

Sorga (58'), Zenjov (90+3')
Anier (52'), Paskotsi (59'), Kreida (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lisakovich (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.

Result
EstoniaDrawBelarus
39.14%24.13%36.73%
Both teams to score 60.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.44%41.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.05%63.95%
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66%21.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7%54.3%
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45%22.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87%56.13%
Score Analysis
    Estonia 39.14%
    Belarus 36.73%
    Draw 24.12%
EstoniaDrawBelarus
2-1 @ 8.55%
1-0 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 4.4%
3-2 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.14%
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-1 @ 7.17%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.53%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 36.73%

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