Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.