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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 14, 2021 at 7pm UK
 
SA

Ghana
1 - 0
South Africa

Ayew (33' pen.)
Yiadom (41'), Wollacott (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

De Reuck (32'), Xulu (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ghana in this match.

Result
GhanaDrawSouth Africa
44.06%27.66%28.28%
Both teams to score 46.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27%58.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74%79.26%
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5%26.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.3%61.69%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39%36.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.61%73.39%
Score Analysis
    Ghana 44.06%
    South Africa 28.28%
    Draw 27.66%
GhanaDrawSouth Africa
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.7%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.28%

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