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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 11, 2021 at 7pm UK
 
ZN

South Africa
1 - 0
Zimbabwe

Mokoena (26')
Mashego (46'), Phete (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nakamba (56')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.

Result
South AfricaDrawZimbabwe
54.49%27.02%18.49%
Both teams to score 38.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.3%63.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.03%82.97%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.22%23.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.06%57.94%
Zimbabwe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.86%49.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.94%84.05%
Score Analysis
    South Africa 54.48%
    Zimbabwe 18.49%
    Draw 27.01%
South AfricaDrawZimbabwe
1-0 @ 16.78%
2-0 @ 12.05%
2-1 @ 8.56%
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 4.1%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 1.47%
3-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 54.48%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 11.68%
2-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 8.3%
1-2 @ 4.24%
0-2 @ 2.95%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 18.49%

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