Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 54.49%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Africa in this match.
